Buoyed by a robust growth in services sector, the Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP) of Karnataka is set to record higher growth rate of 8.5% even as the country's GDP growth is projected to decline to 6.5% in 2017-18 as compared to 7.1% in 2016-17 at constant prices (2011-12).
According to the state Economic Survey for 2017-18 tabled in the legislature ahead of the Budget for 2018-19 by Chief Minister Siddaramaiah, the services sector is expected to grow by 10.4% in 2017-18 as against a growth of 8.9% during 2016-17.
During the last few years, the services sector has been contributing a larger portion of GSDP. The share of the sector saw a marginal increase from 65.53% in 2016-17 to 66.63% in 2017-18. The contribution of real estate, professional services and ownership of dwellings is highest with 35% in 2017-18, followed by manufacturing (13.88%), trade and repair services (9.27%) and crops (7.68%), the survey said.
GSDP is the most important indicator in measuring economic growth of the state. While in 2016-17, the country's GDP was 7.1% at Rs 1,21,96,006 crore at constant (2011-12) prices, the state's GSDP was growing at 7.5% at Rs 8,74,395 crore. This is now (2017-18) expected to grow at 8.5% and reach Rs 9,49,111 crore.
The gross state value added (GSVA) growth rate of agriculture and allied sector in 2017-18 has been lowered to 4.9% compared to 5.7% in 2016-17 on account of the decline in the area under tur and paddy to 3 lakh hectares and 2 lakh hectares respectively, in kharif 2017-18 compared to 2016-17.
The industry sector, which comprises of mining and quarrying, manufacturing, construction and electricity, gas and water supply, is expected to grow by 4.9% in 2017-18 against a growth of 3.7% during 2016-17. Also, the state's real estate, professional services and ownership of dwellings, is expected to grow at 11.5% in 2017-18, whereas, the first revised estimates (FRE) of 2016-17 was 10%.
"Our government is managing finances without causing deficit of resources for the developmental schemes of the state, even in the midst of financial burden caused on account of waiver of farm loan and pay revision of government employees," Siddaramaiah said in his Budget speech.
The Net State Domestic Product (NSDP) at constant prices is estimated at Rs 8,48,692 crore, showing a growth of 8.5%. The NSVA growth of agriculture and allied activities, industry and services sectors are expected to be 4.8%, 4.8% and 10.3% respectively, the survey added.
Per capita state income of Karnataka (at current prices) is estimated to increase by 10.9% to touch Rs 1,74,551 during 2017-18, against Rs 1,57,436 in 2016-17. In 2015-16, it was Rs 1,42,267. Karnataka's per capita income is higher by 56.2% over all-India per capita income for 2017-18, which is Rs 1,11,782. The level of per capita state income at constant prices is also expected to grow from Rs 1,20,496 during 2016-17 to Rs 1,29,362 for 2017-18 to reach an increase of 7.4%.
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